eggbanjo
Rank #44887 on Subscribers
Level 213 Comments: Comedic Genius Offline
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Date Signed Up:  2/24/2009 
Last Login:  11/24/2013 
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Population  Wales 3,000,000
Fatalities last year  121
Life Expectancy Wales  79.7
3,000,000 / (121) (79.7) = ~311
So about 1 in 311 will die in a car accident.
4612 motor vehicle fatalities in 2011, population of 127,799,000.
4612/127,799,000 = Number way smaller than 1/125.
Assuming the population remained a constant 127,799,000 and there was an average of 4612 fatalities per year, and the average life expectancy was 60 years of age, 276,720 of 127,799,000 would die. This is .216%, or .216/100, or 1 : 416. This is taking a lot of assumptions, but as you can see it's much closer to the original number. Similarly Whales is 1:413.
I don't personally know much about whales, but Japan has less vehicles per person, and it's completely normal for a person to not have a drivers license  as they are harder to obtain, and far less necessary. Japan also has much safer driving due to lower speed limits, mostly due to so many blind turns, and odd driving habits.
This doesn't say "in a year" it says "1 in 125 die in a car crash", or more specifically "You have a 1:125 chance of dying in a car crash". The number itself is actually wrong, and it seems to be based on this formula http://www.safespeed.org.uk/old12mph.html which states that drivers in an injury accident have a 1:125 chance of it being fatal. So yes, it is incorrect. However you're even farther off. ;)
Sorry ._.
"You will die in a car crash: 1 in 125", this means if you are in a car crash there is a chance of 1 in 125 you will die, that sounds reasonable.
Find the size of the population during that year
+Do the math
Comparing amount of fatalities in car crashes with the amount of living people makes no sense.
Number of fatalities caused by car crashes  121
3,000,000/121 = 24793 thats 1 in every 24793..
Population  Wales 3,000,000
Fatalities last year  121
Life Expectancy Wales  79.7
3,000,000 / (121) (79.7) = ~311
So about 1 in 311 will die in a car accident.
4612 motor vehicle fatalities in 2011, population of 127,799,000.
4612/127,799,000 = Number way smaller than 1/125.
Assuming the population remained a constant 127,799,000 and there was an average of 4612 fatalities per year, and the average life expectancy was 60 years of age, 276,720 of 127,799,000 would die. This is .216%, or .216/100, or 1 : 416. This is taking a lot of assumptions, but as you can see it's much closer to the original number. Similarly Whales is 1:413.
I don't personally know much about whales, but Japan has less vehicles per person, and it's completely normal for a person to not have a drivers license  as they are harder to obtain, and far less necessary. Japan also has much safer driving due to lower speed limits, mostly due to so many blind turns, and odd driving habits.
This doesn't say "in a year" it says "1 in 125 die in a car crash", or more specifically "You have a 1:125 chance of dying in a car crash". The number itself is actually wrong, and it seems to be based on this formula http://www.safespeed.org.uk/old12mph.html which states that drivers in an injury accident have a 1:125 chance of it being fatal. So yes, it is incorrect. However you're even farther off. ;)
Sorry ._.