Compare the Odds. . This is why I new longer travel E '. what? so 1 in every 125 people die in a car crash? that cant be right? Compare the Odds This is why I new longer travel E ' what? so 1 in every 125 people die a car crash? that cant be right?
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> hey anon, wanna give your opinion?
asd
User avatar #2 - eggbanjo
Reply +12 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
what? so 1 in every 125 people die in a car crash? that cant be right?
User avatar #3 to #2 - yunablade
Reply -2 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
-Find out the number of fatalities in your country per year
-Find the size of the population during that year
+Do the math
User avatar #5 to #3 - eggbanjo
Reply +7 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
Population of Wales - 3,000,000
Number of fatalities caused by car crashes - 121
3,000,000/121 = 24793 thats 1 in every 24793..
User avatar #6 to #5 - yunablade
Reply 0 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
okaaaay... then this probably is from another country and does not affect you (prolly japan)
User avatar #9 to #6 - nylak
Reply +1 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
Japan:
4612 motor vehicle fatalities in 2011, population of 127,799,000.
4612/127,799,000 = Number way smaller than 1/125.
User avatar #10 to #9 - yunablade
Reply +1 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
I was making a racist joke.

Sorry ._.
User avatar #22 to #10 - nylak
Reply 0 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
..Ah, I get it now. Heheheheh.
#12 to #9 - ainise
Reply -1 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
That's one year. This says *period*.

Assuming the population remained a constant 127,799,000 and there was an average of 4612 fatalities per year, and the average life expectancy was 60 years of age, 276,720 of 127,799,000 would die. This is .216%, or .216/100, or 1 : 416. This is taking a lot of assumptions, but as you can see it's much closer to the original number. Similarly Whales is 1:413.

I don't personally know much about whales, but Japan has less vehicles per person, and it's completely normal for a person to not have a drivers license - as they are harder to obtain, and far less necessary. Japan also has much safer driving due to lower speed limits, mostly due to so many blind turns, and odd driving habits.

This doesn't say "in a year" it says "1 in 125 die in a car crash", or more specifically "You have a 1:125 chance of dying in a car crash". The number itself is actually wrong, and it seems to be based on this formula http://www.safespeed.org.uk/old12mph.html which states that drivers in an injury accident have a 1:125 chance of it being fatal. So yes, it is incorrect. However you're even farther off. ;)
User avatar #21 to #5 - iggyblanco
Reply -1 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
The statistic is the probability you will die from one those causes in your lifetime, not in a given year. So:

Population - Wales 3,000,000
Fatalities last year - 121
Life Expectancy Wales - 79.7

3,000,000 / (121) (79.7) = ~311

So about 1 in 311 will die in a car accident.
User avatar #11 to #3 - nwn
Reply +1 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
No, you have to find the amount of fatalities that year.
Comparing amount of fatalities in car crashes with the amount of living people makes no sense.
User avatar #17 to #2 - umaya
Reply 0 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
I will analyse...
"You will die in a car crash: 1 in 125", this means if you are in a car crash there is a chance of 1 in 125 you will die, that sounds reasonable.
User avatar #19 to #17 - eggbanjo
Reply +1 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
well if there was a plane crash wouldn't the odds be much lower to dying, yanno because big tin can at high altitudes falling and crashing?
User avatar #20 to #19 - umaya
Reply 0 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
They probably worked that out differently, its not like 4.6 million people have been involved in aeroplane crashes and 1 survived, most likely it just means out of all the aeroplane flights that have happened this many have had a crash, they really mix and match statistics in things to give false impressions.
User avatar #13 to #2 - zgbgydug
Reply +1 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
Perhaps it means the odds you will die in a car compared to other ways you could die accidentally?
User avatar #16 - defectivetoast
Reply +2 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
I don't understand why more people travel bu car than by fire. I mean fire is way safer.
User avatar #15 - marcothespud
Reply +1 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
This links to a social mechanism that I've forgot the name of where basically, people think it's safe to drive so more people start driving which then causes it to be less safe to drive. Another example is when you think it is important to vote so then you vote which makes you vote more insignificant. Just thought it was pretty cool, I hope I remember the name for it, it is annoying me now.
#7 - sundanceholiday **User deleted account**
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has deleted their comment [-]
#8 to #7 - sundanceholiday **User deleted account**
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User avatar #4 - suspectcheddars
Reply +1 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
Is it trying to say some people travel in a fire?
#23 - whipscorpion
Reply 0 123456789123345869
(05/04/2013) [-]
Shark attacks are pretty damn rare, even more so than death by lightning.
So let's all ride sharks.
Yesssssss....
#18 - destaice
Reply 0 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
Cars are not the issue. Irresponsibility is.   
   
There's a reason planes crash less than cars. Only professionals are allowed to fly planes. They don't hand licences to fly planes like candy.   
   
A licence to drive a car is much easier to get a hold of and cars themselves easier to obtain than planes. Thus, thousands of people who shouldn't be driving are allowed to drive.   
   
I can't say anything for fire though. I've never used it to travel.
Cars are not the issue. Irresponsibility is.

There's a reason planes crash less than cars. Only professionals are allowed to fly planes. They don't hand licences to fly planes like candy.

A licence to drive a car is much easier to get a hold of and cars themselves easier to obtain than planes. Thus, thousands of people who shouldn't be driving are allowed to drive.

I can't say anything for fire though. I've never used it to travel.
#14 - batwill **User deleted account**
Reply 0 123456789123345869
(04/29/2013) [-]
I'm pretty sure that's the same drivers' ed book I had in High School. huh.   
gif unrelated
I'm pretty sure that's the same drivers' ed book I had in High School. huh.
gif unrelated
#1 - carnivoreapples
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