A roll of 3 digits would be a 1 in 1,000 chance of rolling a specific number. Chance of trips is 10 in 1,000, or 1 in 100. So chance of three trips in a row is 1% x 1% x 1%, or 0.0001%.
The chance of that specific combination (888, 888, 999) would be 0.1% x 0.1% x 0.1%, or 0.0000001%.
a roll of 3 digits would be 10 in 1,000 of rolling
so a chance of 1/100 -/- 1%
because it isn't the same user the chances aren't 1% x 1% x 1% = 0.0001%
if the user dinorapter [the first one to roll trips]
rolled again [twice] and got on both of them trips then the chance would be 0.0001%
but because it are all individual persons
you can't combine them in 1 formula
so actually for this to happen is a 1% chance every comment
so it should look like
1% [888] [user1]
-1% [888] [user2]
--1% [999] [user3]
The chance of getting heads on a coin toss is more or less 50% (actually, it's like 50.001%, because the heads side is slightly heavier). So the chance of all heads with one toss is 50%. The chance of all heads with two tosses is 25% since only one possible combination of four is all heads. Chance of heads with three tosses is 12.5% (there is only one possible combination out of 8).
Now then, here's the real question: Does it matter who is tossing the coin? Nope. You could have three separate people do each toss or you could have a different person for each toss, the odds are the same. Rolls on funnyjunk do not work the way you think they do.
the chance is 1/100 right? for every trips
let's say the first person rolled 99 times and the 100th time he get's trips
it should reset his chances. to 1/100
however every time he fails to roll trips his chances increase
when he rolls 50x his chances are 2%
when he rolls 75x his chances are 4%
when he rolls 99x his chances are 99%
and that's the moment he rolled
with a coin the chance is 50/50
but what if i just flipped a coin and i get head
which puts the chances to tails on 75%
i go to my friend and i tell them i will flip a coin and it will be tails
the chances are 75% that i will get tails
however they think i have a 50% chance
that's the same with rolling
you can't tell how many times they didn't have rolled trips before they get trips
if it were fresh new made accounts and they all rolled trips. that would be a other story
That is not how it works. The chance of rolling trips once is 1/100. The chance that a second roll done immediately after the first will ALSO be trips is (1/100)*(1/100), or 1/10,000. You are assuming that each roll is a separate event, whereas all three rolls are counting towards a single event, with a total of 1,000,000,000 possibilities (1,000 * 1,000 * 1,000).
Of course, if they have done multiple rolls to arrive at each trips, their odds of success are 100% as they could just keep rolling until they got the outcome they wanted. But for only three rolls, the chance that all three will be trips is 1/1M and the chance that all three will be specific numbers (like 276) is 1/1B
Also, wtf are you talking about there with coin tosses? Each toss has a 50% chance of heads and a 50% chance of tails. Combining tosses will change your overall odds of a certain combination of heads or tails, but each separate toss is still a 50/50 chance.
Think about it this way (2 coin tosses, success on two heads):
First toss, heads or tails:
If heads: Second toss, heads or tails:
If heads: Success (heads-heads)
If tails: Failure (heads-tails)
If tails: Second toss, heads or tails:
If heads: Failure (tails-heads)
If tails: Failure (tails-tails)
Each toss remains a 50% chance of heads, but overall your chances of success (heads-heads) is clearly 25%, as only one outcome out of four is heads-heads.
"Of course, if they have done multiple rolls to arrive at each trips, their odds of success are 100% as they could just keep rolling until they got the outcome they wanted. But for only three rolls," [quote]
this is what i am highlighting "But for only three rolls"
they didn't only roll 3x times [i assume they rolled more in the paste]
however i will agree with the 1/1M
And i also think we both are stubborn because this would only end up with a yes/no argument
i want to thank you for your personal view of how big the chances are
and it was a pleasure to discuss the roll system with you
Let's see... each is one in a thousand, so 1000^3... The chances of this actually happening are exactly one in 1,000,000,000 (10^9) if I am not mistaken. Using the stats from this page: www.funnyjunk.com/stat/last7day/, we see that approximately 1000 comments are posted per day. Assuming that 25% of these are triple rolls (a very generous assumption), that would be 250 rolls per day. At that rate, it would take up to 4 million days, or 11,000 years for this to occur.